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          欧元 美元由收 益率主导 仍然看跌_www.forex21.cn

          时间:2018/4/25 22:33:22 点击:

            核心提示: The US dollar regained market control and continued to rise in all currencies as financial markets ...
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          The US dollar regained market control and continued to rise in all currencies as financial markets continued to follow the trend of bond yields. The 10 - year treasury bond yield reached 3.03%, dragging the global stock market down without other catalysts, and the Australian and New Zealand stock markets closed for holidays, while the macroeconomic data were rather scarce in the day.

          The euro / dollar hit a selling session near the 1.2244 level of mid February, which began to fall below the beginning of mid week on Tuesday, and now struggles near the 1.2200 level. For the first time since last December, this week's exchange rate has fallen below the 100 day moving average, which is a signal of a common bearish trend. However, the longer-term continuation of the fall is not clear, because the price is now limited to 60 points, and the sudden favor of the dollar does not have a solid foundation. Indeed, the data show the steady growth of the economy, boosted by the Fed's fourth hope of raising interest rates this year, and political tensions seem to have subsided, but both are not true.

          In any case, in the short term, the 4 hour chart shows that the 20 average on the top of the price continues to go south, and the downward trend line is now 1.2240. After the correction of extreme Oversale, the technical indicators have fallen down. Weekly low 1.2181 is the initial support, strong support at 1.2160. If we lose the latter's support position, the 1.2100 psychological barrier will be tested. Once this barrier is broken, it will lead to a steeper and more persistent downtrend. The upper resistance is at 1.2245, 1.2270, and 1.2300 psychological barrier.

          美元重新夺回市场控制权,对所有货币继续攀升,因金融市场继续跟随债券收益率走势。10年期美国国债收益率触及3.03%,在没有其他催化剂的情况下,拖累全球股市走低,澳大利亚和新西兰股市由于假日而休市,而日内宏观经济数据相当稀缺。

            欧元/美元周二尾盘触及本周初跌破的始于2月中旬上涨趋势线1.2244水平附近遭遇卖盘,现挣扎于1.2200水平附近。本周汇价自去年12月以来首次跌破100日均线,这是常见看跌趋势的信号。然而,较长期的延续跌势尚不清楚,因为汇价现在被限于60点的区间范围内,而这种对美元的突然青睐并没有一个坚实的基础。的确,数据显示经济稳步增长,提振了美联储今年第四次加息的希望,而政治上的紧张情绪似乎已经消退,但两者都不是事实。

            无论如何,在短期内,4小时图显示,位于汇价上方的20 均线继续南下,并下穿已经跌破的上升趋势线目前为1.2240水平,经过修正极端超卖情况后,技术指标恢复了下降。周内低点1.2181是初步支撑,较强支撑位于1.2160。如果失守后者支撑位,则1.2100心理关口面临考验,一旦跌破此关口将引发更陡峭和更持久的跌势。而上方阻力位于1.2245,1.2270,以及1.2300心理关口。

           

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